The President and a sycophant press corps go to bed with vision of Obama’s Victory in their heads. Conventional wisdom has it that Obama has out maneuvered the republicans on the payroll tax cut issue. Democrats have given the republicans the choice of passing the senate’s payroll tax bill or let the payroll tax expire. If the republicans pass the senate’s payroll tax, Obama will get to club the republicans with his class warfare rhetoric in two months as the republican presidential campaign heats up. If the republicans choose to let the tax expire, Democrats can cry republicans are only interested in protecting the wealthy. It will probably work considering the press will tell the public the Obama narrative.
The case of a politico issue being framed to benefit Obama and Democrats by a sycophant press will be the norm in 2012. This is the time for one presidential candidate to prove his metal by flipping the narrative on its head and making the issue work in their favor. Any presidential candidate wishing to win will have to do this to win in 2012.
The first step to winning the nomination is to not pull a Scott Brown but go on the morning shows to put the blame flatly on the President and Democrats. Tomorrow morning I will be looking for one of the candidates going on air and defending the House. He/She should go to the press and say the President has clearly chosen to tank the economy for political reasons.
The narrative should be:
When the payroll tax cut started as an issue, President Obama wanted a year extension to be paid for by taxes on millionaires. Republicans said they would extend the payroll tax with cuts and not a tax hike on millionaires. They also wanted the President to make a decision on the Keystone pipeline. The President and Harry Reid caved on republican demands. The tax hike on millionaires and delaying the Keystone decision were given up for the tax cut to be made for 2 months.
The President and Democrats have refused to take the republican compromise of giving the payroll tax extension for 12 months but instead insisted on it being 2 months. The president wants to take $800 out of the pocket of American families and give it to a congressional super committee. Why would he risk failure to get a compromise on the last 10 months when the other side wants to give it to you now?
President Obama and the Democrats are playing politics. They want to regurgitate the class warfare arguments in 2 months because it appears to have helped Obama in the polls.
The press will hate this argument and will shoot back at whoever makes this argument. The candidate that can take the republican message to the public through a press message will be a winner in the general election.
Rick Santorum has bashed Democrats for saying they want to protect Social Security while undercutting the funding mechanism.
Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry have taken a just-say-no position on extending the cut
Jon Huntsman, has advised his party to cave in order to preserve its anti-tax brand
Romney said in Keene, N.H., Wednesday. I’m not going to get into the back and forth on the congressional sausage-making process. I hope they’re able to sit down and work out a solution that works for the American people. I’m not involved in the day to day negotiations on this decision, but it does not seem to me that they’re so far apart that they cannot reach a solution.”
Gringrich "If you’re going to extend the cut, extend it for a year" in NH and In Iowa "This is exactly why people are sick of Washington and sick of politics. They can’t figure out how to pass a one-year extension,"
Ron Paul strongly believes that the payroll tax cut should be extended. Raising taxes by over $1,000 on working families is atrocious, especially at a time when so many are tightening their belts.
This luke warm support allowed Team Obama to say this today:
“Republican presidential candidates are too cowed by the mania of the House Tea Party Republicans to do anything close to demonstrating leadership,” said Bill Burton, the former White House spokesman who now leads the pro-Obama super PAC Priorities USA. “Mitt Romney and the other Republicans have shown that as president, they would not have the courage or leadership to stand up to the tea party even when the economic future of middle class families is at stake. It’s embarrassing, weak and cowardly.”
As Republican Candidates calculate their spin and lead from behind. A detrimental media uses their spin against the Republican House and tar them as cowards and tea party radicals. Candidates find your spine and fight and you will win the nomination.