A Tale of Two Budgets

House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R) of Wisconsin recently submitted an eight-year budget plan for America. Much has been written in the last few weeks about the similarity between Ryan’s budget and Obama’s budget. While it would be easy to go through both budgets line by line and point out the differences, the simple fact is only the Ryan plan addresses the core principles needed to get our country moving on a path toward fiscal security. Four of the core principles Ryan tackles are tax reform, spending cuts, military spending and shrinking the government.

Taxes

Over the last 50 years the average tax revenue generated as a percentage of GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has been steady at about 18%, regardless of the tax rate.[1] The GDP for 2011 was around $15 trillion.[2] The Congressional Budget Office projected total tax revenue of $2.2 trillion for 2011.[3] The problem is our annual Federal budget is close to $3.6 trillion,[4] leaving a deficit of $1.4 trillion. These numbers can vary by $200 billion dollars depending on your information source, but the point is we run a huge deficit every year. Obama wants to shrink this deficit by increasing tax rates on the rich, but if overall tax revenue remains at about 18% of GDP, then the only way to increase tax revenue is to increase GDP – in other words, grow the economy.

Growing the economy is a function of lowering the tax rate and increasing consumer confidence. Lowering the tax rate puts more money in the hands of the citizens to spend, invest, or save as they see fit. This in turn increases consumer confidence. When consumer confidence is high and spending increases, the increased number of transactions means more taxes get collected.

The uptick in spending and consumer confidence is what boosts GDP. 18% of a larger GDP pie means larger federal tax revenue. Without increasing the number of transactions that take place, you cannot hope to tax your way out of a deficit by raising taxes on the rich. Doing so will only decrease the number of transactions overall as more money has to be put aside by people to cover the higher tax rates.

Chairman Ryan’s budget plan cuts personal taxes from the current 35% maximum down to 25%.[5]  The lowering of the tax rate is what gets extra money into the hands of the people and primes the engine of economic growth.

Spending Cuts

Now that you have increased the GDP you must follow this up with spending cuts. Washington has shown that if you let them spend, they will. As government gets bigger the cost to run it goes up, and this takes more money (in tax revenue) away from the private sector economy.

Chairman Ryan’s plan would reform entitlement spending and do away with ObamaCare.[6] Obama’s Health Care bill alone could cost trillions of dollars in the next 10 years, much more than the American people where told it would cost.[7] [8]

Chairman Ryan’s budget plan also puts a cap on government agencies’ fiscal budgets.[9] Currently, federal agency budgets go up on average 8% per year no matter what. This increase is not tied to taxes or GDP growth; federal agency budgets just go up automatically.[10] By forcing spending cuts, Ryan’s budget plan limits the amount of overspending Washington can do year after year.

Military Spending

President Obama’s budget tries to save money by cutting military spending. Chairman Ryan’s budget preserves necessary defense spending to protect America’s national interests.[11] Conflicts in the world have changed over the years. No longer are large-scale wars fought, rather small regional conflicts and terrorist attacks are the new norm today. The world must know that any country harboring terrorists faces the strength and firepower of the U.S. armed forces.

The reality in today’s world is that some of our enemies find it honorable to die in the fight against us. A weak Armed Forces only emboldens our enemies. The world must know and sense our might.

The effect of a terrorist attack on our GDP, as well as the human cost, is just too high. The U.S. must be safe. A strong military helps to ensure this safety. Balancing the budget should not be done on the backs of our troops. This sends the wrong message to the world.

Shrinking Government

Fundamentally president Obama believes that government is the answer to the problems we face, and if we just get government running more “efficiently” we could save money and solve our problems. The way Washington sees itself running more efficiently is it gets bigger with more oversight and regulation. This larger government takes money to run. A growing government takes more money and resources away from businesses.

Chairman Ryan’s budget will shrink government.[12] The simple act of freezing mandatory federal budget increases will, over time, shrink the federal workforce. A smaller more efficient government frees up more money for GDP growth. Doing away with ObamaCare will also help to shrink the size of our government.

Solutions

The Ryan Budget is a great first step in getting our country on the path to fiscal freedom.

This is the first in a series of articles American Citizens for Economic Freedom will be doing on the Ryan budget plan. We will dig deep into the facts on entitlements, healthcare and how responsible financial management will save America economically. We will expose the lies and hype that politicians in both parties use to help them keep their power and keep you in the dark.

Our very survival as a nation depends on making bold choices on growing jobs, growing our economy, and restoring our freedom from an Obama Administration that is playing with your very livelihood.

Read our articles, send them to your friends, tweet and Facebook to others today. Join us at www.truecapitalism.org, consider giving a donation of $50, or become a monthly contributor to help stop what is happening in Washington today.


Resources

[1] The Real Tax Rate Conundrum - http://www.zerohedge.com/print/446236

[3]  Congressional Budget Office – http://www.cbo.gov/publication/21999

[6] 2013 Paul Ryan Budget Resolution, p.5 - http://paulryan.house.gov/UploadedFiles/Pathtoprosperity2013.pdf

[9] 2013 Paul Ryan Budget Resolution, p.72 – http://paulryan.house.gov/UploadedFiles/Pathtoprosperity2013.pdf

[11] 2013 Paul Ryan Budget Resolution, p.13 -  http://paulryan.house.gov/UploadedFiles/Pathtoprosperity2013.pdf

[12] Ibid, p.5-6


 

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Comment by John Mainhart on August 18, 2012 at 9:28am

I respect you but your facts don't help me as much as you say.  The rich that control the ,large businesses in this country enrich their lifestyles by taking much of the so called ,earnings, especially business earnings, by designing systems such as speculation to justify raising their prices such as oil companies.  Then they take that money and spend it on perks for themselves and declare the company only earned 8 percent.  I am neither an idiot nor a progressive but try to search for the truth in spite of our systems' claims.

  I am a great fan of Capitalism when it is based on values such as service, consideration of the ,worker and consumer, truth etc. which many small companies in my community are. I don't encourage unbridled greed which is represented by the profit motive exclusively.

I remember baseball when the owners, who didn't care much about the players, had the concept that baseball  owners and players should ,serve the community.  When both learned that everyone could make big bucks if they cater to the rich, the poor and the common man ,were sacrificed  We need for the well-off leaders in our systems to begin to think of building up communities by becoming interested personally in the people they find themselves located near.  This drive to increase profits by going international will be the end of us all unless decisions are bsed on the values I mentioned instead of enriching the leadership.  The former General electric ceo was wrong.  He does have more responsibilities than enriching his stockholders. 

Did you see that Corzine will probably not face criminal charges.  The rich  write the laws for our valueless legislators and their ",beat the system lawyers" ,see to it they are not held accountable.  Sad

Comment by Doug Nicholson on August 18, 2012 at 1:32am

God, I didn't want to do this, but I cannot resist answering your ridiculous assertions.

First of all, both Reagan and Kennedy prover that lowering tax rates (within reason) increases tax revenues.

This statement, "...the rich should be made to pay their fair share...", pegs you as either a Progressive or an idiot. Below is a breakdown of taxes paid compared to income:

Percentage Of Taxes Paid
Broken Down By Income

Income              Percentage
Bottom 20%               -3.8%
Next 20%                    -4.3%
Middle 20%                 3.9%
Next 20%                    15.1%
Total paid by lower
80%                             10.9%

Top 20%                     89.1%
Top 10%                     40.4%
(Top 1/10th of 1%     16.4%)

Now...who would you say
doesn't pay their fair share?

Currently, nearly half of everyone in the country pays ZERO taxes! And over 50% receive one type or another government check every month. Fair share? Give me a break!

As to so-called "loopholes"...there is no such thing as a "loophole"! All there is, is the U.S. tax code! If the tax code doesn't say that you must pay, you do not have to pay. If the government doesn't like it, then change it! 

As fr as "free or subsidized transportation" is concerned, how many so-called "rich people" do you know of who use public, or "subsidized" transportation?

Not "wake up", John, but grow up and smell the coffee. You need to grab some serious reality, Man.

(P.S.  I have no idea why the font changed the way it did when I copied & pasted those tax stats!)

 

 

 

 

 

Comment by John Mainhart on August 17, 2012 at 9:23am

I am a great admirer of Paul Ryan and believe he is a principled man who is well meaning.  Since big business and big government think in terms of solutions for the entire country rather than letting local communities solve the problems they can locally, and over the years both have padded their life styles by making what they do from day to day an expense which they pass on to us, it is hard for me to see how lowering the tax rate will ,accomplish what I think is needed.  I believe both large systems need to adopt a what is best for individual communities instead of trying to enrich their own lifestyle.  In addition to cuts in taxes, the rich should be made to pay their fair share by eliminating loopholes that permit them to enrich themselves at the expense of everyone else.  If a rich person gets all those perks they are used to, such as free or subsidized transportation etc. the economy will hum along and the wealthy will conjtinue to live a lifstyle way out of porportion to what they contribute to society and the consumer will have less to keep the engine running. 

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