Without making you read all the way down the page to get to the pay... Since the birth of the Union Movement in this country, those groups have exclusively donated to, backed, and voted for Democrats. Now, for the first time in history, a sitting Democrat President has lost financial support of at least part of his union coalition. What's even a worse sign for Barack Obama, is that this article speaks of a chink in that armor of at least one public sector union. Earlier this year it was the UMW who publicly declined to back Barack Obama, after he made good on a rare campaign promise to, "bankrupt," the coal industry. Now, it would seem as though some of the nation's teacher's unions are beginning to become disillusioned with the President who hails from the land of the Unicorn.
Over the past few years, lawmakers who have previously been considered solid supporters of teachers’ unions have tangled with them over a national education agenda that includes new performance evaluations based partly on test scores, the overhaul of tenure and the expansion of charter schools.
As these traditional political alliances have shifted, teachers’ unions have pursued some strange bedfellows among lawmakers who would not appear to be natural allies.
In Illinois, the top three recipients of political contributions from the Illinois Education Association this year are Republicans, including a candidate for the State House who has Tea Party support and advocates lower taxes and smaller government.
William Seitz, a prominent Republican state senator in Ohio who is a member of the American Legislative Exchange Council, a conservative business-backed group, has received more money this year from the Ohio Education Association than any other donor.
Teachers’ unions in Georgia and Texas have also donated to the campaigns of numerous Republicans, and the Indiana State Teachers Association shocked Democrats this year when it decided to endorse a fiscally conservative Republican who once helped write a resolution to eliminate property taxes, a typical source of financing for public schools.
Please do not misunderstand me. I am in no way advocating the practice of climbing into bed with these fine people. What the unions represent, and the influence that they are attempting to purchase here, is still anathema to everything conservatism stands for. I am not in favor of the whole sale destruction of my principles in order to secure electoral victory. I am merely pointing out that while we are reading the veritable ton of expert analysis which says that the end of the conservative movement is nigh, we are missing the very real signs that the opposite is true. As Deep Throat once famously said, "follow the money," and the money has just shouted very loudly, "Oh crap, we better donate to the enemy lest, we lose everything come November."
They say a shark can smell a drop of blood in the water from miles away when hungry. Well my fellow conservative sharks, this is that drop of liberal blood, and I am hungry to begin correcting the disastrous four years that was the Obama Administration. While we're at it, we should go all the way back to Woodrow Wilson and set to rights every single liberal encroachment upon our personal freedom that has taken place.
During any President's bid for reelection, in the entirety of our nation's history, only one incumbent has won reelection while polling under 50%, regardless of whether or not they held a lead in those polls during the campaign season leading up to the election. That somebody was William Jefferson Clinton, who had Ross Perot and his traveling show to strip enough of the conservative votes away from Bush and Dole to allow him to win two elections via plurality. Rasmussen and Gallop show the race being extremely tight, with about 5% who have not made up their minds. Typically, the late breakers vote overwhelmingly in favor of the non incumbent. The reason that they are undecided is that they are not happy with the guy in charge, who has failed to make his case to them in four years.
The other phenomenon at work here is the difficulty in predicting voter turnout models. Most pollsters will start with the turnout models from the previous Presidential election, which may not be even slightly accurate. Consider this, the last 7 Presidential elections have mirrored the turnout model of the previous midterm election. If that is the case this time around, Barack Obama will be firmly ensconced in McGovern/Carter/Mondale territory.
Just remember that our demise was reported by the appropriate talking heads in November of 2008. Since then Conservatives have gained 63 House Seats, 7 Senate Seats, 11 Governor's Chairs, and 780 State Legislature Votes. There is nothing that has happened during the last two years that would lead me to believe that the mood of the country has changed at all, let alone appreciably. Our elected conservative leaders did not drop our wishes as they did between 1994 and 1996. If anything, John Boehner has actually managed to hang tougher than I would have thought him capable. whether that was his idea or if he were pushed into it, I do not know, nor do I frankly care.