Philip Klein, the senior editor at the Washington Examiner has written another one of those obligatory, “Is the Tea Party losing” columns.
From the Washington Examiner:
The Tea Party movement was fueled by opposition to the Wall Street bailouts, President Obama's health care reform legislation and out-of-control spending in Washington. Yet the current favorite to win the Republican nomination has rejected the Tea Party line on all of these issues.
During Tuesday's debate, Romney effectively endorsed the 2008 Wall Street bailout. Though he criticized the implementation, he defended the governing philosophy behind the move:
"My experience tells me that we were on the precipice, and we could have had a complete meltdown of our entire financial system, wiping out all the savings of the American people. So action had to be taken."
Romney has also stood by his Massachusetts health care legislation, which served as the model for Obamacare. Both laws expand Medicaid, mandate that citizens purchase insurance or pay a fine, and provide government subsidies to individuals to purchase government-designed insurance plans on government-run exchanges. Obama and Romney even consulted several of the same advisers when crafting their plans.
The Washington establishment has been pushing the Romney as frontrunner and Romney is the inevitable winner line for a while. Unfortunately for them, that does not match up to reality.
Cain is up 30-22 on Romney with Newt Gingrich sneaking past Rick Perry for 3rd place at 15% to Perry's 14% with Michele Bachmann and Ron Paul tied for 5th at 5%, Jon Huntsman 7th at 2%, Rick Santorum 8th at 1%, and Gary Johnson 9th with less than 1%. [...]
Romney is the inevitable winner?
Romney is at 22%. He is not even winning in this poll. There are others, but most of the current polls have Cain, not Romney as the frontrunner. Before that, they had Perry, not Romney as the frontrunner.
Romney has consistently been polling at between 20 and 25%. That means 75% of the GOP voters want someone else. Look at the alternatives. There is Herman Cain, with Tea Party associations. There is Newt Gingrich with Tea Party associations. There is Rick Perry with Tea Party associations. There is Michele Bachmann with Tea Party associations. There is Ron Paul with some loose Tea Party associations. There is even Rick Santorum, who certainly aligns himself with the Tea Party movement. There are about 70% of the GOP voters who are aligning themselves with someone who identifies with the Tea Party movement!
Mitt Romney is only inevitable now because he is the only RINO who is a major player. The Tea Party vote is divided among a number of candidates, while the RINO vote is not.
With Mitt Romney not able to break past twenty-five, he is not the inevitable winner. He is most likely to lose before Super Tuesday. Some of the Tea Party aligned candidates are going to start to shake out. Santorum will be the first. Bachmann is going to try to make it to Iowa, but even then she is probably gone. Perry may make it as far as South Carolina. Some of these candidates are going to start dropping out and when they do, one thing is certain.
Their supporters will not be lining up behind Mitt Romney.