The Obama strategy is now quite clear. He is forging a coalition of voters to whom he has given or promised money or breaks of some sort. These include:
College Students - kept their loan rates down, allowed them on their parents' insurance
Women - contraceptive, abortion, etc. benefits
Illegals - amnesty (equivalent of Dream Act); beating up on Arizona, etc, refusal to respect SCOTUS
Democratic Base, Minorities - these will stand with Obama, no matter what
Homeowners - assistance with mortgages, foreclosure avoidance, etc.
Unemployed - Unemployment Compensation extended benefits
Homosexuals - repealed DADT, will not defend DOMA, pushing for gay marriage, etc.
Unions - will stick with Obama, no matter what
Elderly - promised to close "doughnut hole" with Obamacare
Uninsured - signed Obamacare into law
Environmentalists - 54 mpg regs, no oil drilling in the Gulf, climate change, etc.
So, you can see, this is a tremendous coalition. At best, I place the race at 50-50. So, we have our work cut out for us!
This is the reason that I have been suggesting that we not drop the "eligibility" investigation. If Obama can be removed on Constitutional grounds, so much the better for us. Likewise, if Romney selects a non-natural born citizen, Obama will be off the hook, as he is not natural born, as his dad was not a US citizen at Obama's birth.