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Reports are pouring out of Washington about the Fiscal Cliff negotiations.  A lot of people observing the negotiations are outraged by what is going on.  Instead of being outraged, and there is plenty of time for outrage; we should take a look at what is going on.

 

If you analyze the negotiations, it tells you a lot about what is going on in Washington and what may happen.

 

What is going on inside these negotiations? 

 

First the Obama Team offered to raise taxes $1.6 trillion.  Then he wants no spending increases.  And the top layer of the cake?   He wants the authority to borrow money without congressional authority.  He wants to basically abolish the debt ceiling.

 

Obama’s initial offer to the Republicans was absolutely stunning.   He put an offer that not only is unacceptable to the Republicans; it shows contempt for the Republicans.

 

Roger Fisher and William Ury wrote a book called, “Getting to yes.”  It is the definitive book on negotiating.    Fisher and Ury talk about something called the “best alternative to a negotiated agreement.” (BATANA).    Obama believes that he has an incredible BATANA. 

 

The Republicans have already painted themselves into a corner.   When they agreed to the sequestration deal back in 2011, the Republicans gave away their strongest negotiating points.   The cuts the GOP agreed to back in 2011 would be the most painful for the GOP.  This was John Boehner’s brilliant idea that would “force” negotiations to reach an equitable settlement.

 

That’s a great theory, in practice.  However, it also assumes that both parties are entering into the negotiations in good faith.  The idea behind negotiations is that both sides want to reach a fair agreement.

 

Unfortunately for the Republicans and for America, the Obama Regime has no interest in fair agreement.  They do not look at negotiations as a forum for compromise so that the best ideas can prevail.  They look at negotiations as another battleground just like elections.  They do not want a fair agreement.  They want to win.

 

Obama approaches these negotiations knowing a couple of things.  First, his team has done such a good job of messaging on the fiscal cliff; most polls show the public will blame the Republicans for the fiscal cliff. 

 

Obama knows the drive by media will cover him.  They will dutifully report that anything other than a complete capitulation will be portrayed as Republicans trying to protect millionaires and trying to screw the middle class.

 

The other thing he knows is he has an opponent who has no stomach for the fight.   John Boehner will not stand and fight.  When you have an opponent who will not fight, why even try to be reasonable.

 

Back in an earlier part of my life, I worked as an Assistant District Attorney.   Every prosecutor in any jurisdiction can tell you which defense lawyer will try cases and which one will not.

 

98% of all cases in state criminal courts are resolved by a negotiated settlement.    I hardly ever negotiated with defense lawyers who I knew would not take their cases to trial.   I would just tell them what the offer was and wait for them to fold. 

 

Obama believes he is in the driver’s seat.  He believes Boehner will fold and give him everything he wants.  If Boehner folds and gives Obama everything he wants, not only does Obama continue to destroy America, he destroys the Republican Party at the same time. 

 

Boehner has a BATANA.  It is to simply walk away from the negotiations.   Boehner should realize that even if the fiscal cliff turns into a disaster now, by the time the 2014 elections come along, the fiscal cliff will be long forgotten.  What will not be forgotten is if Boehner surrenders to Obama.

 

If he does, it will mean the end of the Republican Party as a national party. 

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Tags: barack, boehner, ceiling, cliff, debt, fiscal, increases, john, negotiations, obama, More…tax

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Replies to This Discussion

Repuplicans need to walk away. I agree. Folding now will only give Obama more power in the future.

I do not view the end of the Republican Party as a bad thing. Mitch McConnell is no leader. He is less than worthless.

ONE problem is, you drop the "Republican" Party, there is NOTHING cohesive to REPLACE it!  The other problem

is--there doesn't seem to be enough Conservative Leaders with real backbone to whip a Conservative Party into

shape no matter WHAT you call it!

The Country has reached a new level of desperation and deception-- my doctor says I have an ulcer!

Here is how I see Obama's thinking.

Obama approaches these negotiations knowing a couple of things. First, his team has done such a good job of messaging on the fiscal cliff; most polls show the public will blame the Republicans for the fiscal cliff.

Obama knows the drive by media will cover him. They will dutifully report that anything other than a complete capitulation will be portrayed as Republicans trying to protect millionaires and trying to screw the middle class.

The other thing he knows is he has an opponent who has no stomach for the fight. John Boehner will not stand and fight. When you have an opponent who will not fight, why even try to be reasonable.

 

Obama believes he is in the driver’s seat. Obama will continue to destroy America.

Humans will control the environment and the economy and remove US from the equation.

 

Occupy America

Death to America, death, death, death.

May Socialism rule forever.

Only the select elite will know freedom.

Apparently, Boehner believes it is better for him to be liked by his enemies than to keep any old friends.

I wish he would stop being so conciliatory to people that don't like him. Like Obama's goons. for starters. If they do like him, it will only be because they are playing him for the fool. They won't support him anyway; why elevate your false sense of security.

I am hopeful that next year the Republican House majority chooses a different Speaker. It should be noted that there is no Constitutional requirement that the Speaker be a member of the House. With that in mind, I nominate Mark Levin as the next Speaker of the House. At a minimum, it will improve the level of intelligence coming from the daily Speaker's briefings.

A few additional words to Boehner and McConnell: With friends like you, who needs enemies?

I nominate Alan West. Wouldn't that tick off the party elites?

wouldn't that be great. Mark can really back up what he says and do it with patriotic passion. I like it!

      Judson,  I  APOLOGIZE  to  you !   In  an  earlier  blog,  you  had  stated  that  the  Speaker  of  the  House  does  NOT  have  to  be  a  MEMBER  of  the  House.    WOW !   Well,  Judson,  I  had  always  believed  that  the  Speaker  DOES  have  to  be  a  House - member,  so,  I  added  to  the  blog,  saying  that  I  think  you  are  MISTAKEN ;  that  the  speaker  DOES  have  to  be  a  member, . . . . . . 

     Well,   Judson, I  APOLOGIZE  to  you ;  I  learned,  just  YESTERDAY,  that  the members  of  the  House of  Representatives  CAN,  INDEED,  elect  a  NON - member !   ( Yet,  it's  NEVER  HAPPENED, . . . .

GASP, . . . . ).  SO, . . . . folks,  THIS  means  that  the  House  of  Representatives  CAN  elect  NEWT  GINGRICH,  ( y'all  know  Newt, don't  you? . . . .  YOU  know,  the  man  who  could  have  WHIPPED  Obama ? . . . . ).   

     HEY,  fellow - conservatives,  Newt  Gingrich  will  NEVER,  NEVER,  NEVER  " cave in "  to  those  " D " - word  people,  as  Boehner  continually  does, . . . . . . Newt  has  a  FINE  set  of  b _ _ _ s !   And,  Newt  HAS  been  Speaker,  BEFORE, . . . . . .   wink !

That's a very interesting development! I would vote for Newt in a heart beat!

Did you catch Newt on Fox News on Hannity on Friday night?  If not, look for the video.  He made some great points, as usual.  Wish he would move to Boehner's district in Ohio and primary him in 2014.

 

The fichial cliff is a frabication to catch the ears of the American pople. This was all started a year and a half ago when their was thebgang of six that could not agree on any thing, then came the Simmpson Boals comissionand the recomendations were ignored.

Obama and the democrats have no intention on making any consseioins on spending cuts, all they wany is to tax and spend some more. You can not have finachial equality if you have the rich people.

With out rich people you will not have jobs, except those created by the collective, you get the idea where this is going.

To your point Darrell. . .

Senator Blasts 'Secret' Fiscal Cliff Negotiations
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/senator-blasts-secret-fiscal-cl...

Senator: ‘Gang of Six’ Won’t Release Deficit-Reduction Plan
http://www.defensenews.com/article/20121127/DEFREG02/311270002/Sena...|topnews|text|FRONTPAGE

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