Tea Party Nation ran the latest straw poll, which closed yesterday. The results were not only interesting, but give a good snap shot of what is going on in the movement and what members of the Tea Party movement think.
Who won and what does it mean?
1,669 people took part in the straw poll. The poll listed only the names of declared candidates, which meant Sarah Palin’s name was not on the list. Since Tim Pawlenty withdrew, his name was not included either.
Michele Bachmann won the poll with almost 36% of the vote. Rick Perry came in a strong second with almost 29%. Herman Cain came in third with 12% and Ron Paul was fourth place with a little less than 12%. Everyone else came in, in single digits, except Thad McCotter, who failed to break into the single digit range.
The poll says a lot about the thoughts of those in this movement. Though not a scientific poll, it was a snapshot of this movement. Michele Bachmann is clearly the strong favorite among members of this movement. Rick Perry has a strong amount Tea Party support as well.
A few weeks ago, TPN ran a similar straw poll and the results are interesting to compare. Michele Bachmann won that poll as well, with 43%. Rick Perry only scored 15% on that poll. Sarah Palin was included in that poll with a little under 15%. Because of the way the poll is set up, it is impossible to tell if her supporters
did not vote in this straw poll because her name was not on the ballot or went to someone else.
Herman Cain fell in the latest straw poll, probably reflecting a growing sentiment that though Cain is a great conservative, his campaign is entering the terminal phase and the only question now is will his withdrawal occur before or after the Iowa caucuses.
Ron Paul showed some increase, going from 5% to almost 12%. He is still an also ran.
Perhaps the most interesting result of the poll is the total lack of support Mitt Romney has in the Tea Party movement. He drew 3% in this poll and 2% in the previous poll.
The race is quickly slimming down to a three-way race between Romney, Perry and Bachmann. Bachmann is clearly the favorite of the Tea Party movement, with Perry having strong support and almost no support for Romney.
Perry’s entry into the race has bumped Romney from the front-runner status. Romney has the support of the establishment. That means he has the money establishment support brings. Perry has the problem of some enemies within the establishment who want to take him down.
Perry rocketed into the lead in the GOP race this week with his entry. But now he is going to face a lot of scrutiny. If Perry’s enemies succeed in damaging him or taking him down, this could become a two-way race between Bachmann and Romney.
Many in the Tea Party will vote for Bachmann. Many in the Tea Party could vote for Perry. Given the low level of support Romney has, there is a serious question how many people in the Tea Party movement would vote for Romney if he is the nominee.
Would you vote for Romney if he became the GOP nominee? That is the new Tea Party Nation straw poll question.
Vote and find out the results, here on Tea Party Nation.
JL, after reading what you posted today I am convinced you are smoking
Stop naming Patriots that never said they would vote for Ovomit. If you
don't have something positive to say - say NOTHING> thanks.
You all better be careful - not voting for Romney - the buggy man JL Stevens
will attack you like he is the gestapo! What's with that?
All you folks out there that simply DO NOT UNDERSTAND Ron paul's foreign policy, maybe you might be "big enough" to watch this speech in 2009 on the house floor. WHAT IF???