Still too close to call.
The Alabama and Mississippi primaries are being held tonight and as of almost 10 PM eastern, the results are still too close to call.
From the Hill:
Republicans are looking to the South for some clarity in their presidential nomination battle, with voters in Mississippi and Alabama headed to the polls Tuesday in what looks to be another close-fought pair of contests.
The polls closed at 8 p.m. ET in both states, but both contests were too close to predict a winner based on early results.
Surveys of the two states show the top three GOP presidential candidates all within points of each other, setting up another high-tension election night in the hard-fought GOP campaign.
But early reports indicate turnout was low, and thunderstorms sweeping across the region — which forced Newt Gingrich to cancel a planned campaign stop at the Birmingham zoo — only underscored the unpredictability and volatility of the race.
A win in one or both of the primaries could validate the continued presence of either Gingrich or Rick Santorum in the race, signaling their ability to coalesce conservative voters around their candidacies. For Mitt Romney, a victory in what he admitted was “a bit of an away game” could finally sew up the nomination.
As of almost 10 PM, Romney is in 3rd place in Mississippi, where he thought he would do well. Newt Gingrich is having an upbeat night but as of right now, he is not winning either of those states and he desperately needs to win one of them.
Two third place finishes for Romney will help disrupt the idea that he is the inevitable nominee and also that he can win the south.
To continue, Newt really needs to pull one of those two states out.
Interestingly Santorum is the only candidate with little up or really little down. No matter what, he is going to get delegates. Even if he wins, he does not win that much and if he loses, he still has not lost that much.
As of now, there are still a lot of votes to be counted. But so far it looks like it will not be a knock out for Santorum who had hoped to see Gingrich leave the race.
One thing is certain, this race goes on after tonight and the prospect of a brokered convention continues to grow.
Tags: alabama, gingrich, mississippi, primary, republican, romney, santorum
Replies to This Discussion
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Permalink Reply by American Infidel on -
Congratulations to Rick Santorum for his Southern Sweep!!
http://www.cnn.com/2012/03/13/politics/primaries/index.html?hpt=hp_t1
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Permalink Reply by YVONNE & MICHAEL APPELL on -
Judson -
I voted for Newt here in Florida. However, we think it is time for Newt to drop out. Are you having thoughts about stating this publicly?
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Permalink Reply by victoria lites on -
We still haven't voted here in Louisiana, I am thinking we probably need to get behind Santorum as he is leading the Non Romney~ and I hope he takes Newt to the top with him! Which I feel quite certain he will, they are long time friends and I believe Santorum kinda cut his teeth on Newt....Newt gave him much direction 20 yrs ago, time for a payback.....
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Permalink Reply by faith m martin on -
Well, this race was unbelievably close, with Rick in 1st, Newt in second place, and right on Rick coattails. Mitt came in third, but do you see any fair reporting of Newts rise in these primaries?, no you don't. The media has been downplaying Newt all along, to depress his support, but this shows it is not working, hold on and keep fighting Newt supporters, it ain't over yet! Frankly, IF Dr. Paul would see reason he would graciously back out and support Newt (as Newt is closer to his ideals than the others), this would put Newt in front quickly. But, alas,, RP has never given up a race.
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Permalink Reply by Marcia Wood on -
William I'd vote for a "junk yard" dog before I'd let Obama win.
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Permalink Reply by Perry Read on -
When Newt was faced with Romney's negative campain he went form 15-20 points ahead of Romney to losing by 15 points. When Santorum faced the all Romney could throw at him he went form up by 6 points to losing by 3 points. Obama is going to make Romney look like a joke in the negative ad game....To me it would be smarter to take the one that has handled the negatives better.
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Permalink Reply by Dennis L on -
Let me tell you the bad news. For all those that support Newt; it is 100% certain that he will not win. For Newt to win he would have to get 80%- 90% of the remaining delegates.
At this point its either Santorum ( a long shot) or liberal Mitt Romney. Despite their faults they are both preferable to the president that we now have. That man is the lowest, the absolute bottom of the barrel.
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Permalink Reply by Dean Allen on
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My first choice for President was Michele Bachmann. I was her grassroots coordinator here in Greenville, South Carolina.
My second choice is Newt. He has some baggage and makes an occasional mistake. He is probably smarter than any presidential candidate since Thomas Jefferson; and, he is definitely way more conservative than the other three still running.
That said, we may need to all start looking at a possible third choice since Bachmann is out and Newt is definitely behind the proverbial 8 ball.
I am an old conservative who supported Goldwater, and ran Reagan's GOTV operation in Galveston County Texas. I am firmly convinced that Mitt Romney is a LOT more conservative than Rick Santorum. Has everyone forgotten that for 12 years in the US Senate, Rick Santorum was a reliable liberal vote to raise the debt limit five times? That he supported RINO Arlen Specter, his mentor, against Pat Toomey, the tea party conservative? Have you forgotten that Santorum had an "F" rating on illegal immigration, just like Obama and Ron Paul, till he started running for president and making promises now to secure the border?
For all his faults, Romney, is actually more conservative than Rick Santorum. I think it is prudent and even necessary, to look at voting records in office and lifetime achievements, not just focus group tested rhetoric on the campaign trail that is very different from the actual record.
I still want Newt - and Rick Santorum gives me the creeps.
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