Rick Perry is Running for President
by Judson Phillips
The statement Rick Perry is running for President should not come as a shock to anyone. Perry has not announced for President yet, but he will. It is only a matter of time.
He is hard at work lining up not only supporters but according to my sources even more importantly lining up fundraisers. A campaign needs many things but most of all, it needs money. With the Obama campaign on track to raise a billion dollars legally and probably as much illegally, any Republican is going to need a lot of money.
But what does it mean when Perry jumps into the race?
It is the curveball that will throw the race into confusion.
The big loser will be Mitt Romney. We all know Romney is a RINO and he is a very flawed candidate. Romney cannot run against Obama on Obamacare. He did Romneycare in Massachusetts. While there are arguments about exactly how much he did, he has been hung with it. Obama has claimed Romneycare was the inspiration for Obamacare. Romney gave the come back at the first debate that Obama should have called him and he would have said it does not work. Nice retort but that does not work. Not only do most people not believe it but in the era of soundbites, that one just isn't going to cut it.
The second issue that Romney is so flawed on is jobs. Romney touts his private sector experience. He was with Baine Capital, which provided investment capital for companies to buy out other companies or shareholders. Frequently the end result from those investments was layoffs from the companies. The layoffs may well have been justified. That is the nature of the private sector. Sometimes you hire and sometimes you fire. A company in the private sector must remain profitable.
Unfortunately for Romney, the commercials are already scripted. When he starts talking about the Obama depression and people out of work because of it, the Party of Treason is going to have workers fired from the companies that Baine provided capital for talking about how they were sacked.
Surprisingly, Michele Bachmann is also going to suffer from Perry's entry. Bachmann is an exciting candidate who comes from the Tea Party. She is committed to Tea Party principles. Perry makes a similar claim, but to a lesser degree. Many will argue about his Tea Party cred but he will pull some from Bachmann. In a recent Tea Party Nation poll, Bachmann, not surprisingly was the top vote getter with almost 45% of the vote. In what could be called a surprise, Perry, an unannounced candidate came in second with 18% of the vote, beating out Sarah Palin.
Some of the minor players are going to suffer from a Perry candidacy as well. When he announces, that could be the death knell for Tim Pawlenty's campaign as well as that of Newt Gingrich. Money has been hard for both of them to come up with and many GOP heavy hitters are still sitting on the sidelines, waiting.
Perry also brings one other feature to the race. He may be the one candidate that can unite the Republican Party. He maybe the one who can get support from both the establishment GOP and from the Tea Party. Romney cannot get Tea Party support. If Romney is the nominee, the Tea Party will not support him the way a Bachmann or even a Perry will draw support.
Bachmann is a fresh voice on the scene. While many of the chattering class have written her off, she has been working quietly behind the scenes to build a real GOP organization. But getting the establishment firmly behind her this time maybe a bridge too far, and some RINOs may well split off if she is the nominee. We saw something similar in Minnesota last year, where some "moderate" Republicans refused to support the conservative Republican nominee and floated a "moderate" candidate out there. The moderate drew 11,000 votes and Socialist Governor Mark Dayton won by 9,000.
Perry may be the one Republican who can unite the GOP in 2012 in a run against Obama.
For what ever flaws he may have, that is something conservatives will have to think long and hard about as they decide who they are going to support.
Congressman Ron Paul may be a long shot to win the Republican presidential nomination, but he runs competitively with President Obama right now.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Paul picking up 37% of the vote, while the president earns 41%. The Texas congressman joins Mitt Romney, Michelle Bachmann, and Rick Perry as candidates within hailing distance of the president at this time.
Rudy Giuliani is another potential candidate who is considered a long shot for the nomination but is competitive with the president. The former mayor of New York City trails Obama by five, 44% to 39%.
But the real story in the numbers is that the president continues to earn between 41% and 49% of the vote no matter which Republican is mentioned as a potential opponent. This suggests that the race remains a referendum on the incumbent more than anything else.
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