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We are going to lose the Senate in a few weeks.
I’ve said it. I’m on the record. I hate to throw water on everyone’s hopes, but it is going to happen.
I think we are going to see a lot of good things on Election Day. I think Marco Rubio is going to win. I think Rand Paul is going to win. I think Joe Miller is going to win. I think there is an excellent chance Sharron Angle will win and a decent chance Christine O’Donnell will win. I think the Republicans will pick up ten seats in the Senate.
If you have had your morning dose of caffeine, and do some quick math, you will realize picking up ten seats would give the GOP a one-vote majority.
There are two irrefutable facts we face going into this election. Statists never voluntarily give up power or at least not without a struggle and Republicans are generally so stupid that they measure the drapes before they have the office and snatch defeat from the jaws of certain victory.
Even as the Democrats try a brutal triage to save their majority, another plan is in the works. They have done this before.
I can guarantee you; the statists have already been reaching out to try and made a deal to entice one or more RINO’s to switch. Olympia Snowe of Maine is probably their first target. She is almost certain to face a conservative challenger in 2012. She is hated by the Tea Party. Jumping parties might look attractive to her to avoid a heated primary. She certainly would feel more at home in the Democratic Party. Susan Collins, the other “sell-out sister” from Maine may also be thinking the same thing. She doesn’t have to run until 2014, but an attractive offer could make her jump ship.
John McCain is another possibility. He has admitted he thought about leaving the Republican Party in 2003 and we certainly would have been better off if he had.
The one thing that may keep McCain on the GOP side of the fence is the virtual certainty that if the GOP does not take control of the Senate in 2011, they will in 2013. As many as 23 seats currently held by Democrats will be up in 2012 and if the GOP is within a vote before that election, the numbers alone almost dictate a Republican majority in 2013. McCain has been in both the majority and the minority and he knows how much better it is to be in the majority.
If the Republican leadership had any intelligence, and we know they do not, they should be talking to a couple of the most conservative Democrats and be enticing them to come over to the GOP. Ben Nelson of Nebraska might be one choice.
Two years ago, in Tennessee, the GOP learned a lesson. For the first time since Reconstruction, the GOP had taken control of the state House of Representatives. The man who was going to be Speaker of the House was so busy measuring the drapes for the Speaker’s chamber, he forgot that he only had a one-vote majority and the liberals never surrender power without a fight. They talked one RINO GOP representative into switching. He ran for Speaker and all the Democrats voted for him. He rewarded them by giving them a number of important committee chairs.
The good news is, we do not need to win the Senate. We do need to win the house and it looks like that will happen. For the next two years, we will not implement a conservative agenda. We will simply be stopping the liberal agenda. We cannot enact a conservative agenda until we have a conservative President. In the meanwhile, all we need is control of the house and forty-one senators with backbone.
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