The ongoing debate about Sarah Palin continues. Will she run or won’t she? As someone pointed out, it’s like Groundhog Day.
There are a lot of people, including some on Tea Party Nation, that really want Sarah Palin to run. But it now grows late in the day and it is increasingly looking like Sarah Palin won’t run.
Palin has made no statement on the subject other that she would announce by the end of September. Time is running out as the deadlines for filing to get on the ballot in crucial states are coming up with some as early as October.
This brings us back to the will she or won’t she question. In the law, there are two types of evidence: direct and circumstantial. Direct is evidence that speaks to a fact. Circumstantial evidence is facts that lead to a conclusion.
Palin has only given us circumstantial evidence to go on here, but what is there suggests that there will be no Palin run in 2012.
Why?
First, Palin has taken no steps to create a campaign structure. The main reason campaigns are run the way they are is because professionals know what it takes to win. Running a Presidential Campaign is running a multi-million dollar venture. For the nominee, that is hundreds of millions of dollars. You need fundraisers, pollsters, campaign directors and hundreds of others to make it work.
In order to get that kind of money, it has to be raised. Palin has not set up an exploratory committee or any other type of Presidential fundraising device. Nor has she lined up large fundraisers to her cause. Most of them have been spoken for at this point.
Some of the Palin supporters like to tell us she is going to run an unconventional campaign. You can only be unconventional to a point. You can have an unconventional airplane but if it doesn’t have two wings and an engine, it isn’t getting off the ground. Some have speculated that Palin would wage primarily a media campaign. That still costs money. So far, all she has done is raise money for SarahPac and that money cannot be transferred to a Presidential campaign.
Finally, there is Palin herself. She shows little interest in running.
She was on Fox News last night and did not sound like she was that interested in running, especially her statement about not needing a title.
Here is the video.
One way or another, the Palin watch will be over soon. She has promised an announcement by the end of September. That is only a couple of days away.
Tags: 2012, gop, palin, party, presidential, primary, republican, sarah, tea
Permalink Reply by Dave Mason on If you have read the article and don't clearly understand the position, nothing else I could offer would matter to you. If you don't think she was campaigning or at least testing the waters since she left Gov office, you have misread the tea leaves. Call it anything you want but she HAS been campaigning regardless of what you deem to call it.
And for the record, the author was right...she hasn't been to the debates and got her shins kicked like Perry or Bachman; she goes on safe shows like Hannity; and she had 3 years to prepare for this eventuality and there is absolutely no indication she has done ANYTHING. She's crazy if she thinks she can just waltz in and regain the momentum she had with McCain.
Permalink Reply by kay williams on 
Permalink Reply by Judy Masserano on Dave,
She does have that momentum everywhere she goes.
Permalink Reply by katy on Permalink Reply by Jim Hoff on I have always said, and continue to say, whether Sarah Palin runs or not she will have a profound impact
on the 2012 election, and that is good for conservatives.
Permalink Reply by Laura on Permalink Reply by katy on 
Permalink Reply by Kristin Fecteau on 
Permalink Reply by keith cristopher on ms. palin may not need a title; but if she runs and wins she'll need one hell of a v.p.
a nsa who can reduce our overseas involvement while still keeping us and our allies
safe, and an outstanding cabinet...
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