Dovetailing on Judson's Earlier Post today regarding Donald Trump, a new PPP Poll has the above findings in their most recent data collection. Yes, I know they're liberal, but they've also proved to be very accurate in past elections.
Trump's broken the perpetual gridlock we've found at the top of the Republican field, getting 26% to 17% for Mike Huckabee, 15% for Romney, 11% for Newt Gingrich, 8% for Sarah Palin, 5% for Ron Paul, and 4% for Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty.
I'm still pretty skeptical that Trump's going to run but if he doesn't someone who taps into the same sort of hard, hard right sentiment he's appealing to right now will get their votes- it's hard to imagine these folks voting for a more centrist candidate like Romney or Pawlenty. And that means there's a very serious contingent within the Republican Party that's less concerned with beating Barack Obama than having a nominee who gets them fired up. That suggests many GOP voters have not learned the lessons of Nevada and Delaware and that Obama may survive despite his weak approval numbers because the Republicans end up defeating themselves.
My observations on this poll:
The pollsters at PPP think if the GOP puts forth a “tea party approved” candidate, we’ll see the same outcome as the Sharron Angle/Christine O’Donnell races last November and give Obama 4 more years. This is something no one wants, but the question is, are they right? The “DC establishment” told us this last time, gave us McCain and we see where that got us. Are we going to be stuck with a Romney, Huckabee or Newt?
Trump has hit a gold mine by taking the fight directly to Obama. Other than Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann, have any of the other candidates done this? And if that’s the case, why are Palin and Bachmann not higher in the polling?
What is happening to Sarah Palin’s popularity? Is she overexposed? Has the press realized she’s not running and therefore aren’t reporting on her anymore? What’s going on in regard to her declining numbers in these polls? Is she going to run and if so, will she be able to pull herself back to the top of the heap?
I’m looking forward to reading your thoughts.
Tags: Bachmann, Donald, GOP, Huckabee, Palin, Pawlenty, Poll, Presidential, Romney, Trump
Permalink Reply by Debrajoe Smith-Beatty on April 15, 2011 at 12:09pm
Permalink Reply by Jon Vandenberg on April 15, 2011 at 12:14pm
Permalink Reply by Gaytha Curtis on April 15, 2011 at 12:33pm
Permalink Reply by Let Freedom Ring on April 15, 2011 at 3:36pm
Permalink Reply by Janice Manz on April 15, 2011 at 4:58pm If Trump goes forward, it is unlikely he will win the republican nomination. If he then runs as an independent, as he has already stated he would do, the republican candidate will have to be strong enough to debate through the BS from both Trump and Obama and rise to the top. Who in our republican line up do you think is the best person for this challenge? I get the sense that Trump has merely intervened to throw a monkey wrench into the government machine. I'm afraid I don't trust him and his liberal friends. He could clearly pave the way for another 4 years of Obama.
http://www.nationaljournal.com/columns/cook-report/the-cook-report-...
The only person I see in our current line up that could deal with the intellectual mudslinging is Newt Gingrich but given his political history and baggage, is he really the right choice or even electable?
Permalink Reply by Debrajoe Smith-Beatty on April 16, 2011 at 4:45pm The black people in Las Vegas and in Mesquite hate Obama, and I know they will not vote for him. In fact many of them have registered Independent. Many of the legal mexicans hate Obama.
A. West said he is not running!
Trump is just being a politician when he said nice things about Obama, etc. He is singing another tune now.
Romney has a lot of backers in Las Vegas, Nevada. Las Vegas has a very large population of LDS, and Romney is LDS. So, there you have it.
Permalink Reply by William M Jackson on April 15, 2011 at 9:06pm
Permalink Reply by roy rhea on April 16, 2011 at 11:04am
Permalink Reply by Jeff Waller on April 15, 2011 at 12:15pm
Permalink Reply by Gary Gray on April 16, 2011 at 9:31am Best Thought Yet. "Put The Two Best Candidates Together"
We Need a Team of Qualified Candidates to Beat the Bum Odumba
Permalink Reply by Al Newman on April 15, 2011 at 12:16pm There is a simple rule to follow:
What ever the MSM says you want.....run like hell the other way.
Trump is a dead issue. He runs in the circles of the very people that have devoted their lives to destroying America. You don't play in the New York big league unless you are 'in'.
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