Marching to Little Big Horn
Alabama, Mississippi and a Hawaii have spoken. In the middle of real America Rick Santorum won two states, Newt Gingrich came in a close second and Mitt Romney came in third.
Where does this go from here and is the destination a good one?
The delegate races grinds on. Romney, the so-called inevitable winner, still has less than half the delegates he needs. Santorum has only half the delegates that Romney has and Newt Gingrich has only a quarter of Romney’s delegates.
Newt seems to realize he is close to being mathematically eliminated so he has changed his strategy. He is now going to a guerilla war to try and block Mitt Romney from getting the nomination.
Santorum’s surrogates have been reduced to calling for Newt to leave the race, which was advice he ignored when he was busy at less than 1% of the vote. Santorum assumes that all of Newt’s votes would go to Santorum. That is not a safe assumption.
If Romney picks up as much as 30% of the Newt vote, Romney can walk to Tampa with enough delegates.
The most alarming part of last night was the Romney performance. Romney had hinted he would win at least either Alabama or Mississippi. Romney spent a lot of money in Mississippi and Alabama and conservative voters rejected him.
Newt Gingrich called it right when he said Mitt Romney is the weakest frontrunner in almost a century.
When Romney runs in the South, which is the base of the Republican Party, he fails.
With Romney as the nominee, we are marching toward Little Big Horn. Romney is the Republican Custer and if he is the nominee, we will see the same results except we can say Custer probably fared better than how Romney will fare.
Santorum is not a strong candidate against Obama. He isn’t even a strong candidate against Romney and Gingrich. Santorum is strong on social issues but weak on fiscal issues.
Gingrich wants to deny Romney the nomination and we should support him in that. Mitt Romney is the Republican who can most likely give Obama four more years. Even if Romney were to escape electoral massacre and get to the White House, he will be a disaster for Republicans. He is the first Republican to run since the Reagan revolution to run without making a tax cut a specific part of his platform.
When Romney was governor of Massachusetts, he governed as a liberal. Not only did give us Romneycare, he gave Massachusetts cap and trade, massive welfare spending and now thanks to Romneycare Massachusetts is billions in the hole.
Newt’s strategy might be to try and unite a divided convention behind him. That is not a bad strategy since he is the only candidate who can unite the Republican Party. He did it in South Carolina.
Mitt Romney can only win where he can outspend his opponents by at least 5-1. Like Custer, if Romney makes it to this fall, he is going to find himself outgunned and outnumbered.
Romney cannot win this fall. We need someone else.
We need a real conservative.
Tags: alabama, gingrich, mississippi, primaries, republican, romney, santorum
Replies to This Discussion
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Permalink Reply by Carol Williams on
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Gerald, your pattern seems to be to stop in every once in awhile just to say something hateful to Judson. Is that why you joined TPN?
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Permalink Reply by janet barks on -
Wow, that's just crazy talk.
I would ask you to explain how you could be correct, but I don't think your answer would carry much weight.
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Permalink Reply by William J OBrien on -
"Santorum is not a strong candidate against Obama." Unfortunately, Rick is not strong, period. He is a very nice guy who is more like a candidate for High School Class Prez than POTUS. Too bad, but . . .
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Permalink Reply by janet barks on
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Rick is a very nice guy? He has to act nice. This is a game, he is a politician. William, He Only Wants To Win The Big Prize and Be The President. He sure wasn't nice to the businesses he took over and didn't care about the employees that lost jobs---all for the sake of profits!
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Permalink Reply by Jeff Waller on -
Wait a minute...we're not quite at midstream!
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Permalink Reply by OneCitizenOfTheRepublic on -
Santorum is like Gerald Ford...a really nice guy...but NOT a fighter. Not a debater, Not a winner.
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Permalink Reply by Karen Vaughan on -
WE need a TRUE and CONFIDENT Conservative! GO RICK! Mitt lost in the LAST primary to McCain, and WE NEED A WINNER! the libs are claiming that the Southern Women are turning their backs on their gender - THAT CANNOT BE FURTHER FROM THE TRUTH! WE ARE THE VOICE OF WOMEN THAT BELIEVE IN AMERICA!
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Permalink Reply by Thomas Angle on
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Maybe just the northern lib gender. They don't like southern women because they are jealous. Nothing beats a southern woman's accent.
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Permalink Reply by Jeff Waller on
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Nothing beats a southern woman!
I know, I married one...
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Permalink Reply by Joseph A. Gallant on -
Egregious Errant Editorial of Empirical Facts ~ PolitiJim's Rants for Reasonable People http://bit.ly/zEPSmf
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Permalink Reply by Ruth Sluder on
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OK, so just as I have said all along, Romney is not electable.I don't believe that he could really handle Obama in a debate. I want to know with all the money rolling around what the handlers for the top 3 guys are not top notch. Romney's camp have failed him miserably on how to handle Obamacare, the fact he himself is rich, unemployment, our military and our border problems as well as all the unconstitutional laws coming out of DC. Those are the issues. Santorium just cannot get his arguments across well either. I like Santorium and yet he, right now cannot beat Obama. Newt could if the world had saw us gather around him. But all his 3rd and 4th place finishes says it all.
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Permalink Reply by Richard Wohltmann on
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Rick Santorum is a good man and he is no doubt the most socially conservative candidate. He seems to understand the working class. (Do we want to be known as a country of classes?) His record tells so much more. He endorsed PA Senator Specter over Pat Toomey. The same Specter who was key to enable Obamacare to pass before he was replaced. As PA Senator, Santorum voted for huge government increases in "no child left behind", the Medicare prescription drug program, "bridge to nowhere", among others. The point is that in the single most important concept of the GOP and the Tea Party specifically, limited government, Santorum is sorely lacking. Santorum is based in politics: able to "compromise" when he sees fit. We have had enough of compromises. Limited government seems to mean next to nothing for Rick Santorum. Realistically, Romney is the only one that can beat Obama, and above all, he is successfully based in the private sector, the antithesis of bigger government.
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